Every time Bitcoin’s super signal flicked before, the markets arose. Now that he is back, he is pointing out the latent impulse.
Bitcoin’s quiet volume can be its strongest signal so far
The price of Bitcoin (BTC) has decreased slightly since it reached a peak or $ 111,970 on May 22, going back to around $ 103,300 axis or June 6, a decrease or approximately 8%.
Despite the fall, institutional appetite seems to remain intact. The US Bitcoin Spot ETF. UU. They registered around $ 5.24 billion at the entrance of net tickets can, the suggestion that the interest of investors has not decreased with the deceleration in the boost of the price.
Meanwhile, feelings indicators show a neutral image. The cryptographic index of fear and greed is 46 years, placing the market in the “neutral” area and waiting for more triggers.
In the midst of this, the Cryptocon chain analyst has highlighted a constant strange but historical pattern known as the “Bitcoin superraltation.” The signal is activated when negotiation volumes fall to extremely low levels, while prices remain in a broader upward trend.
According to Cryptocon data, the current negotiation volume is at its lowest level since 2014. Only three previous instances have with the same criteria. Each was followed by an important Toro race.
Until now, there is no clear evidence that the current cycle has reached a peak. Bitcoin continues to operate within the upward territory, while the volume continues to decrease. Historical, this combination has preceded acute movements up, even if the market seems quiet on the surface.
To make sense of what this signal could mean now, we need to look at their previous appearances, how each one developed and why it tends to arise when market conditions seem fate calmed.
Bitcoin supervision decoding
In the history of the Bitcoin table, acute manifestations often arise after prolonged periods of low activity. The volume of the Super Signal oscillator is one of the few indicators that captures this pattern through the volume of use, instead of the price, such as the main entrance.
It highlights the moments when commercial activity falls to historically low levels, while the widest trend remains up. Only four of those signals have appeared: December 2012, October 2016, September 2023 and more recently, June 2025.
The indicator works by applying a volume oscillator to the Bitcoin monthly table. When the volume is submerged below a trend of the duration of the defined threshold, it indicates a change in the structure of the market. Most vendors have probably left, and buyers can accumulate with minimal resistance.
From a liquidity perspective, this implies a reduced supply pressure. As a result, equally moderate demand can boost the highest prices once the market impulse returns.
In 2012, the signal appeared when Bitcoin was quoted below $ 15. Around the following year, the price increased more than 10.600%, forming the 2013 bull cycle that led Bitcoin to the main attention.
The next instance occurred in October 2016, when Bitcoin remained about $ 700. The cycle that followed reached a maximum of $ 20,000 at the end of 2017, marking a 3,461% increase of the signal to the top of the cycle.
In boats, the signal arose duration of low volume periods, not in times of retail frenzy. The price was constantly rising, but the broader interest had not returned.
The same pattern was repeated in September 2023. Bitcoin traded around $ 25,000, the volume fell into the “low extreme” area and the market remained cautious due to the macro uncertainty. In six months, Bitcoin reached $ 75,000, publishing a 200%gain.
Institutional investors are still buying sauce
Super’s last signal appeared in June 2025, since the volume oscillator fell into an extreme low zone.
Current readings show the lowest volume level since 2014, although Bitcoin is still traded above $ 100,000 and US ETF spot. UU. They continue to register multimillion -dollar tickets.
The contrast may seem contradictory, but historically, low volume in an upward signal configuration that sellers have come out and buyers are accumulating in silence.
Under such conditions, the depth of the market is reduced. Equally moderate tickets or capital can move significant prices due to lack of resistance to the side of the sale.
The graphic data admit this pattern through colored -encoded volume areas. The red boxes, which mark the volume of volume already often indicate the market tops, have constantly appeared at the end of the previous bull cycles, even in 2014, 2018 and 2021. None has appeared so far in this cycle.
In contrast, the blue circulation areas highlight the moments of super signs when the volume reaches the deeply suppressed levels, while the trend remains up. These signals have emerged historical in the early or medium interns of a rally, not at the end.
The current table closes with an interrogation sign close to today’s price, a suggestion that the current movement still develops.
It is important to distinguish between super signals and standard volume pivots.
Not all volume drops lead to strong manifestations. Green circulation pivots in the oscillator identify periods of moderately low volume followed by smaller movements up. Super signals occur only when the volume is at unusually low levels and the broader price structure remains intact.
Macroconomic conditions add more context. The fiscal environment has changed once after the approval of the “Big Big Beautiful Bill”, which brought a renewed government expense and added Conns on long -term blend.
Meanwhile, inflation expectations remain high, and risk assets have more and more prices in the possibility of a softer global monetary posture.
In that backdrop, Bitcoin has a structurally favorable position. ETF flows continue to provide a constant demand. The pressure side pressure remains limited, and negotiation volumes are compressed, creating a configuration where the price can move quickly if fresh capital enters.
The behavior in the chain reflects a change towards accumulation. According to Glassnode, the wallets containing between 10 and 100 BTC now show a perfect accumulation score of 1.0, indicating a strong and sustained purchase activity.
The same score in wallets that have less than 1 BTC has been recorded, a suggestion of retail interest is also being built.
Duration of accumulation Low volume phases generally reflect optimism. Participants do not rush, but are positioning in silence, waiting for confirmation before larger movements are developed.
As always, cryptographic markets are very volatile and nothing is never guaranteed. Do your own research and never invest more than you can losing.
